The rupee appreciated by 23 paise to close at 79.02 (provisional) against US dollars on firm domestic equities, amid foreign investors’ inflows.
At the interbank foreign exchange market, the Indian currency ended at 79.02, as against 79.25 closed in the previous trading session. The rupee touched a high of 79.00 and a low of 79.22 before ending at 79.02.
“USDINR spot closed 23 paise lower at 79.02, thanks to FPI flows turning positive and some carry trade interest. Improvement in forwarding premium has brought exporters into the market. At the same time, softness in USD overseas, improved growth outlook in India, and an uptick in forwarding premium has attracted carry traders into the market, who go long rupee and short USD,” said Anindya Banerjee, VP, Currency Derivatives & Interest Rate Derivatives at Kotak Securities Ltd.
The dollar index, which measures the dollar’s strength against the basket of 6 currencies, was down 0.52 percent at 105.34.
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Inflows of foreign investors in domestic equities also remained a major factor in the rise of the local currency. Foreign investors turned buyers in July nearly after 10 months, with an investment of around Rs 4,980 crore in the Indian equity markets. This comes heavy sell-off by these entities of around Rs 50,203 crore.
According to the NSDL data, investment of foreign investors in July month stood at Rs 4,989 crore, as compared to over Rs 50,000 crore outflows in June, Rs 39,993 crore in May, and Rs 17,144 crore in April.
“Despite the no major change in fundamental factors for the rupee, there is a change in the global sentiments for the demand of the US dollar. Post the Federal Reserve policy meeting, we have seen dollar bulls cool down after the Fed highlighted that it could move a bit slow in hiking interest rates going forward. This is leading to the short-term relief into the major and emerging market currencies to recover their previous losses against USD,” said Amit Pabari, Managing Director, CR Forex.
Although the trend in the USD is yet to be determined with the data releases and the risk sentiments improving and the outlook for other currencies such as the euro and pound, markets need a lot more convincing statement to keep demand for the US dollar compressed for a longer period of time, he added.
“Over the near term, bias remains downward. We expect a broad range of 78.70 and 79.40 on spot,” Banerjee said.
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